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Dr Peter Caley PhD (UC), MApplSc (UC), Grad Dip Resource Man (Canberra College of Advanced Education), BSc (UQ) Current Position: NHMRC Research Fellow Contact Details: (Building 62, ANU map) National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University Canberra, ACT, 0200 Australia T: +61 2 6125 7911 F: +61 2 6125 0740

Research Interests

• Statistical modelling and parameter estimation
• Wildlife disease epidemiology and management
• Population dynamics
• Model selection and inference

Selected Recent Publications

Caley P, Groves RH, Barker R. Estimating the invasion success of introduced plants. Diversity & Distributions 2007 (in press).

Caley P, Philp DP, McCracken K. Quantifying social distancing arising from pandemic influenza. Journal of the Royal Society Interface . 2007. doi: 98/rsif.2007.1197

Caley P, Becker NG, Philp D. The waiting time for inter-country spread of pandemic influenza. PLoS ONE 2007; 2(1) : e143. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000143 .

Caley P, Kuhnert P. Application and evaluation of classification trees for screening unwanted plants. Austral Ecology, 2006; 31: 647–655.

Caley P. Bovine tuberculosis in brushtail possums: models, dogma and data. New Zealand Journal of Ecology, 2006; 30; 25–34.

Forsyth DM, Caley P. Testing the eruptive paradigm of large herbivore dynamics. Ecology, 2006; 87: 297–303.

Caley P, Lonsdale WM, Pheloung P. Quantifying uncertainty in predicting invasive species. Biological Invasions, 2006; 8: 277–286 .

Caley P, Hone J. Assessing the host status of wildlife for disease and the implications for disease control: Mycobacterium bovis infection in feral ferrets. Journal of Applied Ecology , 2005; 20: 708–719.

Caley P, Hone J. Disease transmission between and within species, and the implications for disease control. Journal of Applied Ecology, 2004; 41: 94–104.

Caley P, Hone J. Estimating the force of infection: Mycobacterium bovis infection in feral ferrets Mustela furo in New Zealand . Journal of Animal Ecology, 2002; 71: 44–54.

Caley P, Morley CG. An assessment of growth rates of European rabbit ( Oryctolagus cuniculus ) populations and the precision of spotlight transect counts. Journal of Wildlife Management, 2002; 66: 131–137.

Caley P, McElrea LM, Hone LJ. Mortality rates of feral ferrets ( Mustela furo ) in New Zealand. Wildlife Research, 2002; 29: 1–6.