Some of NCEPH’s most significant work and publications are provided on this page. For recent publications, see the academic staff member
Environment Climate and Health
Lucas RM., Ponsonby A-L., Dear K., et al. Sun exposure and vitamin D are independent risk factors for CNS demyelination. Neurology, 2011; 76(1):540-548.
Lai JK., Lucas RM., Banks E., Ponsonby A-L and the Ausimmune Investigator Group. Variability in vitamin D assays impairs clinical assessment of vitamin D status. Internal Medicine Journal, 2012; 42(1):43-50
Lucas RM, Neale R. What is the optimal level of vitamin D? Separating the evidence from the rhetoric. Australian Family Physician 2014;43 (3): 119-122
Williamson C*, Zepp R*, Lucas RM*, Madronich S*, Austin AT, Ballaré CL, Norval M, Sulzberger B, Bais A, McKenzie R, Robinson S, Häder D-P, Paul ND, Bornman JF. Solar Ultraviolet Radiation in a Changing Climate. Nature Climate Change 2014;4:434-441 *equal first author
Lucas RM, Byrne S, Correale J, Ilschner S, Hart P. Ultraviolet radiation, vitamin D and multiple sclerosis. Neurodegenerative Disease Management 2015;5(5):413-24
Thomas P, Swaminathan A, Lucas RM. Climate change and health with an emphasis on interactions with ultraviolet radiation: a review. Global Change Biology, 2012; 18(8):2392-2405
McMichael AJ, Woodruffe RE, Hales S. Climate change and human health: present and future risks. Lancet 2006;367:859-69
Butler C, Harley D. Primary, secondary and tertiary effects of eco-climatic change: the medical response. Postgrad Med J 2010;86:230-23
Williams CR, Mincham G, Faddy H, Viennet E, Ritchie SA, Harley D. Projections of increased and decreased dengue incidence under climate change. Epidemiol Infect 2016.
Bowen K, Miller F, Dany V et al ‘The relevance of a coproductive capacity framework to climate change adaptation: Investigating the health and water sectors in Cambodia', Ecology and Society, 2015; vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 1-12.
Bowen K & Ebi K, 'Governing the health risks of climate change: Towards multi-sector responses', Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2015; vol. 12, pp. 80-85.
Friel S, Bowen K, McMichael A et al 'Climate change, non-communicable diseases and development: The relationships and common policy opportunities.', Annual Review of Public Health, 2011; vol. 32, pp. 133-47.
Integration and Implementation Sciences
Bammer G, ‘Enhancing research collaboration: Three key management challenges’ Research Policy, 2008;37, 875-887.
Bammer G. and M. Smithson (eds) Uncertainty and Risk: Multidisciplinary Perspectives, London: Earthscan,2008 382pp. Paperback released in July 2009.
McDonald D., Bammer, G., Deane P. Research Integration Using Dialogue Methods, ANU Press; 2009; http://press.anu.edu.au?p=60381
Bammer G. (ed) Dealing with uncertainties in policing serious crime, ANU E-Press, 2010; http://press.anu.edu.au?p=100761
Bammer G., with Michaux, A, and A. Sanson (eds) Bridging the ‘know-do’ gap: Knowledge brokering to improve child wellbeing. ANU E-Press 2010; http://press.anu.edu.au?p=681.
Bammer G. Disciplining Interdisciplinarity: Integration and Implementation Sciences for Researching Complex Real-World Problems. ANU Press, 2013; http://press.anu.edu.au?p=222171
Bammer G. (ed) Change! Combining analytic approaches with street wisdom. ANU Press, 2015; http://press.anu.edu.au?p=319221.
Bammer G. ‘What constitutes appropriate peer review for interdisciplinary research?’ Palgrave Communications,2016; 2 (16017), doi:10.1057/palcomms.2016.17.
Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Modelling
Davis S, Fearnley E, Viney K, Patel M, Kirk M. The Australian Master of Applied Epidemiology Program: Looking back, moving forward. Communicable Diseases Intelligence, 2016; (in press).
Kirk MD, Davis S, Viney K Ebola outbreak in West Africa: considerations for strengthening Australia’s international health emergency response, MJA, 2016; 205(5):236-7.
Guthrie J, Dance PR, Kelly PM, Lokuge K, McPherson M, Faulkner S Public health capacity development through Indigenous involvement in the master of applied epidemiology program - celebrations and commiserations. Australian Aboriginal Studies, 2011; 2:102-110.
Foxwell AR, Roberts L, Lokuge K, Kelly PM Transmission of influenza on international flights,Emerg. Infect. Dis. 2009; 17:1188-1194.
Jardine A, Menzies RI, Deeks SL, Patel MS, McIntyre PB The impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on rates of myringotomy with ventilation tube insertion in Australia. Pediatr. Infect. Dis. J. 2009; 28:761-765.
McPherson ME, Kelly H, Patel MS, Leslie D. Persistent risk of tuberculosis in migrants a decade after arrival in Australia. MJA 2008;188(9):528-531.
Franklin LJ, Fielding JE, Gregory J, Gullan I, Lightfoot D, Poznanski SY, Vally H ‘An outbreak of Salmonella Typhimurium 9 at a school camp linked to contamination of rainwater tanks’, Epidemiology and Infection, 2008; 137(3), pp. 434–440.
Webby RJ, Carville KS, Kirk MD, Greening G, Ratcliff RM, Crerar SK, Dempsey K, Sarna M, Stafford R, Patel M, Hall G Internationally Distributed Frozen Oyster Meat Causing Multiple Outbreaks of Norovirus Infection in Australia Clin Infect Dis. 2008; 44 (8): 1026-1031.
Infectious Disease Modelling
Hogan AB, Anderssen RS, Davis S, Moore HC, Lim FJ, Fathima P, Glass K. Time series analysis of RSV and bronchiolitis seasonality in temperate and tropical Western Australia. Epidemics 2016;16 49-55.
Sharmin S, Glass K, Viennet E, Harley D. Interaction of mean temperature and daily fluctuation influences dengue incidence in Dhaka, Bangladesh. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2015; 9(7):e0003901.
Aditama TY, Samaan G, Kusriastuti R, Sampurno OD, Purba M, Santoso H, Bratasena A, Marruf A, Sariwati E, Setiawaty V, Glass K, Lokuge K, Kelly PM, Kandu IN. Avian influenza H5N1 transmission in households, Indonesia. PLOS One, 2013; 7(1):e29971
Fielding J, Kelly HA, Mercer GN, Glass K, Systematic review of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus shedding: duration is affected by severity but not age. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2013; 8(2):142-150.
Hickson RI, Mercer GN, Lokuge KM. A metapopulation model of tuberculosis transmission with a case study from high to low burden areas. PLOS One, 2012; 7(4):e34411.
Mercer GN, Glass K, Becker NG. Effective reproduction numbers are commonly overestimated early in a disease outbreak. Statistics in Medicine, 2011; 30:984-994
Caley P, Philp DJ, McCracken K. Quantifying social distancing arising from pandemic influenza. J Roy Soc. Interface, 2008; 5(23):631-639.
Park AW, Glass K.Dynamic patterns of avian and human influenza in east and southeast Asia. Lancet: Infectious Diseases, 2007; 7: 543-548.
Caley P, Becker NG, Philp DJ The waiting time from inter-country spread of pandemic influenza. PLOS One, 2007; 2(1):e143.
Glass K, Barnes B. How much would closing schools reduce transmission during an Influenza pandemic? Epidemiology, 2007; 18: 623-628.
Kirk MD, Pires SM, Black RE, Caipo M, Crump JA, Devleesschauwer, Dopfer D, Fazil A, Fischer-Walker CL, Hald T, Hall AJ, Keddy KH, Lake RJ, Lanata CF, Togerson PR, Havelaar AH, Angulo FJ (2015) World Health Organization estimates of the global and regional disease burden of 22 foodborne bacterial, protozoal and viral diseases, a data synthesis. PLOS Medicine, 2010; 12(12):e1001940
Lal A, Cornish LM, Fearnley E, Glass K, Kirk M. Cryptosporidiosis: a disease of tropical and remote areas in Australia. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2015; 9(9):e0004078.
Kirk M, Ford L, Glass K, Hall G. Foodborne illness, Australia, circa 2000 and circa 2010.Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2014; 20(11):1857-64.
Ford L, Kirk MD, Glass K, Hall G. Sequelae of foodborne illness caused by 5 pathogens, Australia, Circa 2010. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2014; 20(11):1865-1871.
Chen Y, Kirk MD Incidence of acute respiratory infections in Australia. Epidemiology and Infection, 2014; 142(7):1355-1361.
Fearnley E, Raupach J, Lagala F, Cameron S (2011) Salmonella in chicken meat, eggs and humans; Adelaide, South Australia, Int. J. Food Microbiology, 2008; 146:219-227.
Kirk MD, Fullerton KE, Hall GV, Gregory J, Stafford R, Veitch MG, Becker N.Surveillance for outbreaks of gastroenteritis in long-term care facilities, Australia, 2002-2008. Clinical Infectious Diseases. 2010; 51:907-14.
Kirk MD, McKay I, Hall GV, Dalton CB, Stafford R, Unicomb L, Gregory J. Foodborne disease in Australia: the OzFoodNet experience,2008.
D’Souza RM, Hall G, Becker NG Climatic factors associated with hospitalizations for rotavirus diarrhoea in children under 5 years of age. Epidemiology and Infection 2008;136:56-64.
Hall G, Yohannes K, Raupach J, Becker N, Kirk M. Estimating community incidence of Salmonella, Campylobacter, and Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli infections, Australia. Emerg Infect Dis. 2008; Oct;14(10):1601-9
Epidemiology for Policy and Practice
Banks E, Beral V, Reeves G, Balkwill A, Barnes I for the Million Women Study Collaborators. Fracture incidence in relation to the pattern of use of hormone therapy in postmenopausal women. JAMA 2004;291:2212-2220.
Banks E, Reeves G, Beral V, Bull D, Crossley B, Simmonds M, Hilton E, Bailey S, Barrett N, Briers P , English R, Jackson A, Kutt E, Lavelle J, Rockall L, Wallis MG, Wilson M, Patnick J. Influence of personal characteristics of individual women on the sensitivity and specificity of mammography in the Million Women Study: cohort study. Br Med J 2004;329:477-0.
Banks E, Meirik O, Farley T, Akande O, Bathija H, Ali M for WHO study group on female genital mutilation and obstetric outcome. Female genital mutilation and obstetric outcome: WHO collaborative prospective study in six African countries. Lancet 2006; 367:1835-1841(cover publication).
Canfell K, Banks E, Myat Moa A, Beral V. Decrease in breast cancer incidence following a rapid fall in use of hormone replacement therapy in Australia. Med J Aust 2008;188: 641-644.
Urban M, Banks E, Egger S, Canfell K, O'Connell D, Beral V, Sitas F. Injectable and oral contraceptive use and cancers of the breast, cervix, ovary and endometrium in black South African women: case-control study. PLOS Medicine 2012; 9(3): e1001182. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001182.
Korda R, Liu B, Clements M, Bauman A, Jorm L, Bambrick H, Banks E. Prospective cohort study of body mass index and the risk of hospitalisation: findings from 246,361 participants in the 45 and Up Study. Int J Obesity 2013;37:790-9.
Banks E, Joshy G, Weber M, Liu B, Grenfell R, Egger S, Paige E, Lopez A, Sitas F, Beral V. Tobacco smoking and all-cause mortality in a large Australian cohort study: findings from a mature epidemic with current low smoking prevalence. BMC Medicine 2015;13:38. DOI 10.1186/s12916-015-0281-z
Korda R, Joshy G, Paige E, Butler J, Jorm L, Liu B, Bauman A, Banks E. The relationship between body mass index and hospitalisation rates, days in hospital and costs: findings from a large prospective linked data study. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0118599
Schaffer A, Buckley N, Dobbins T, Banks E, Pearson S. The crux of the matter: Did the ABC’s Catalyst program change statin use in Australia? Med J Aust 2015;202:591-4 (Awarded Medical Journal of Australia/MDA National Research Prize for Excellence in Medical Research for best clinical research article in the MJA in 2015)
Lokuge K, Caleo G, Greig J, Duncombe J, McWilliam N, Squire J, Lamin M, Veltus E, Wolz A, Kobinger G, de la Vega M, Gbabai O, Nabieu S, Lamin M, Kremer R, Danis K, Banks E, Glass K. Successful control of Ebola Virus Disease: analysis of service based data from rural Sierra Leone. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2016;10(3):e0004498. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004498
Banks E, Crouch S, Korda R, Stavreski B, Page K, Thurber K, Grenfell R. Absolute risk of cardiovascular disease events and treatment with blood pressure- and lipid-lowering medications in the Australian general population. Med J Aust 2016;204:320
The Global BMI Mortality Collaboration (includes Banks E*, Joshy G* and Korda R) (denotes equal first author contribution). Body-mass index and all-cause mortality: individual-participant-data meta-analysis of 239 prospective studies in four continents. The Lancet 2016;388(10046):776-86 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30175-1
Lokuge K, Verputten M, Tolboom B, Joshy G, Thurber K, Howes S, Daisy P, Banks E. Health services for gender-based violence: Medicins Sans Frontieres experience caring for survivors in urban Papua New Guinea. PLoS One 2016;11:e0156813. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0156813
van der Ploeg HP, Chey T, Korda RJ, Banks E, Bauman A. Sitting time and all-cause mortality risk in 222 497 Australian adults. Archives of internal medicine 2012;172(6):494-500 doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2011.2174[published Online First: Epub Date]|.
Korda RJ, Butler JR, Clements MS, Kunitz SJ. Differential impacts of health care in Australia: trend analysis of socioeconomic inequalities in avoidable mortality. Int J Epidemiol 2007;36(1):157-65 doi: 10.1093/ije/dyl282[published Online First: Epub Date].
Korda RJ, Joshy G, Jorm LR, Butler JR, Banks E. Inequalities in bariatric surgery in Australia: findings from 49,364 obese participants in a prospective cohort study. The Medical journal of Australia 2012;197(11):631-6
Banks E, Joshy G, Abhayaratna WP, Kritharides L, Macdonald PS, Korda RJ, Chalmers JP. Erectile dysfunction severity as a risk marker for cardiovascular disease hospitalisation and all-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study. PLoS medicine 2013;10(1):e1001372 doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001372[published Online First: Epub Date]|.
- I want to be heard (PDF, 1.2MB)
- I want to be heard: community report (PDF, 1MB)
- I needed to hear this(PDF, 741KB)
- Feasibility Research into the Controlled Availability of Opioids Volume 1 (PDF, 125KB)
- Feasibility Research into the Controlled Availability of Opioids Volume 2a - Background Papers (PDF,860KB)
- Feasibility Research into the Controlled Availability of Opioids Volume 2b - Appendices (PDF, 391KB)
- Heroin treatment - new alternative (PDF, 548KB). Proceedings of a seminar held on 1 November 1991, Ian Wark Theatre, Backer House, Canberra
- Stage 2 - Report and Recommendations (PDF, 294KB)
- Estimating the numbers of heroin users in the ACT
- Australian drug markets research: What are we doing? Where are we going? What are the gaps? Proceedings of a one-day workshop held at the Australian National University, Monday 22 February 1993
- Drug use and HIV risk among homeless and potentially homeless youth in the Australian Capital Territory
- Becoming and ex-user: Would the controlled availability of heroin make a difference?
- Does childhood sexual abuse contribute to alcohol, heroin and/or other drug problems? Proceedings of a one day workshop held at the NCEPH, Tuesday 22 June 1993
- It will kill us faster than the white invasion: Views on alcohol and other drug problems and HIV/AIDS risk in the Canberra/Queanbeyan Aboriginal community and on the suitability of a heroin trial for Aboriginal heroin users
- Economic issues in a trial of the controlled provision of heroin
- Issues for designing and evaluating a heroin trial - three discussion papers
- How could an influx of users be prevented if Canberra introduces a trial of controlled availability of heroin?
- How would the controlled availability of heroin affect the illicit market in the Australian Capital Territory? An examination of the structure of the illicit heroin market and methods to measure changes in price, purity and availability, including heroin-related overdoses
- Civil liability issues associated with a heroin trial
- Statistical issues in planning a randomised controlled heroin trial
- Criminal liability issues associated with a heroin trial
- International perspectives on the prescription of heroin to dependent users: A collection of papers from the United Kingdom, Switzerland, the Netherlands and Australia