Dr Ellie Paige

BSc (ANU), MEpi (UQ), PhD (ANU)
Visiting Fellow


Ellie Paige is a Research Fellow with the Epidemiology for Policy and Practice group at the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health. She is an epidemiologist with interest and experience in the analysis of large-scale cohort and administrative data and modelling of longitudinal data for chronic disease research. Her main research interests are in cardiovascular disease prevention and mental health. Ellie’s current research is on inequalities in the use of treatments for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease and she is collaborating with researchers at the University of Cambridge and UCL using UK electronic general practice patient records for cardiovascular disease absolute risk prediction.


Research interests

  • Large-scale epidemiological and administrative datasets
  • Longitudinal data analysis
  • Chronic disease epidemiology
  • Absolute cardiovascular disease risk assessment
  • Cardiovascular disease prevention


  1. Paige E, Masconi K (co-first authors), Tsimikas S, et al. (2017) Lipoprotein(a) and incident type-2 diabetes: results from the prospective bruneck study and a meta-analysis of published literature. Cardiovascular Diabetology (accepted for publication 13 March 2017)
  2. Paige E, Barrett J, Pennells L, et al. (2017) Repeated measurements of blood pressure and cholesterol improves cardiovascular disease risk prediction: an individual-participant-data meta-analysis. American Journal of Epidemiology (accepted for publication 24 February 2017)
  3. Farahi N, Paige E (co-first authors), Balla J, et al. (2017) Neutrophil-mediated il-6 receptor trans-signaling and the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma. Human Molecular Genetics(accepted for publication 8 February 2017)
  4. The Global BMI Mortality Collaboration (Di Angelantonio E, Bhupathiraju S.N, Wormser D,...Paige E, et al.) (2016) Body-mass index and all-cause mortality: Individual-participant-data meta-analysis of 239 prospective studies in four continents. The Lancet (online publication 13 July 2016)
  5. Paige E, Korda R, Kemp A, Rodgers B, Dobbins T, Banks E. (2015) A record linkage study of antidepressant medication use and weight change in Australian adults. The Australian New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry 49(11):1029-39
  6. Paige E, Kemp A, Korda R, Banks E. (2015) Using Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme data for pharmacoepidemiological research: challenges and approaches. Public Health Research & Practice 25(4)
  7. Banks E, Joshy G, Weber M, Liu B, Grenfell R, Egger S, Paige E, Lopez A, Sitas F, Beral V. (2015) Tobacco smoking and all-cause mortality in a large Australian cohort study: findings from a mature epidemic with current low smoking prevalence. BMC Medicine 13:38
  8. Korda R, Joshy G, Paige E, Butler J, Jorm L, Liu B, Bauman A, Banks E. (2015) The relationship between body mass index and hospitalisation rates, days in hospital and costs: findings from a large prospective linked data study. PLOS One 10.3: e0118599
  9. Paige E, Korda R, Kemp A, Rodgers B, Banks E. (2015) Characteristics of antidepressant medication users in a cohort of mid-age and older Australians. The Australian New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry 49(3):275-90
  10. Paige E, Korda R, Banks E, Rodgers B. (2014) How weight change is modelled in population studies can affect research findings: empirical results from a large-scale cohort study. BMJ Open 4(6):e004860